Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,105 at 1 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,699 at 2 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 61699.16 / 60104.77 − 1 = +2.7%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology