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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Jul 2026, 16:35 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

$BTC Ride the downtrend with AVWAP, short every retest, don't get greedy, tp on every 2% retrace, repeat while it works, stack profits, flip long when price get's above it. thx https://t.co/7LQyD1Lcxb

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $59,857 at 1 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,622 at 2 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 61621.99 / 59856.98 − 1 = +2.9%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC Ride the downtrend with AVWAP, short every retest, don't get greedy, tp on every 2% retrace, repeat while it works, stack profits, flip long when price get's above it.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

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