Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $77.10 at 1 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $77.35 at 1 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 77.35 / 77.1 − 1 = +0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology