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Published 1 Jul 2026, 15:17 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 1 Jul 2026, 11:44 UTC · context given to the AI
For the past 9 months, $BTC has dumped into the monthly open 5 times. Today marks another monthly open. Each time we've seen BTC dump into the start of a new month, the market has eventually moved in the opposite direction, catching the majority off guard. If that pattern repeats, we could see a push higher the start of this month.Even if $BTC is going lower on the LTF I expect some relief first. We just swept major liquidations at the lows. If we are going to see one final leg into the low 50Ks, I wouldn't be surprised to see a little rally first. Before the FTX collapse, BTC rallied on the LTF before the final flush. Something similar could play out again.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 61543.79 / 60087.71 − 1 = +2.4%d × r = +2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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