Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $58,896 at 1 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $63,762 at 31 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 63762.21 / 58896 − 1 = +8.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -8.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology