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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

If you sold Ethereum at $1.5K, you fell for it twice. Two bounces. Two bear flags. Two flushes. Each time, the crowd called the bottom too early and got dumped on. Now the base is built. $1.5K is where the real move starts. https://t.co/S6ivOtc3Ys

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,570 at 30 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,613 at 1 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1613.02 / 1569.73 − 1 = +2.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “If you sold Ethereum at $1.5K, you fell for it twice.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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