Prediction evidence

Quoting · 29 Jun 2026, 12:14 UTC · context given to the AI

Even if we drop to $20,000 in 2026, it'll be NORMAL. Unreal IQ evaporated out of this space almost entirely so I have to explain 1st grade math: BTC midterm bear market performance is -66.08% in annualised terms or -65.95% average. Max drop -76.3%. 2026 yearly open was 87.5k. A 66% slide from 87.5k is what? 29.75k. That's even less than 30k. In risk management you ALWAYS assume worst case scenario, and -76.3% slide puts it at 20.74k. So even if Bitcoin drops to 20.74k this year, it is a REASONABLE target at yearly close. A bottom might be lower than this. Now don't get me wrong. For predictions I prefer to rely on average than on extreme values. So my baseline case is 30k-40k range in Q4. All I'm giving you is facts and statistics. Which is how I've outlasted all the top buyers and larps. If you don't understand that, I can't help you. Please quit before you hurt yourself.

In reply to · 30 Jun 2026, 05:35 UTC · context given to the AI

@crypto_birb Why would it be 76% from yearly open? It's always been from the pico top. Genuine question.