Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Jun 2026, 11:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:54 UTC

Peter Schiff

@PeterSchiff

In reply to · 30 Jun 2026, 11:18 UTC · context given to the AI

@PeterSchiff It won’t change. $17 b is a drop in a bucket considering $BTC daily volume is $50 b. Go figure

@AmitKat45365543 Most of the daily volume is day trading. There will not enough net new buying to support the price when Strategy is selling so much. Plus others will front run Strategy's sales.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Bitcoin has support at $58,000. I doubt it will hold. Once it gives way, Bitcoin could collapse below $50,000, testing the August 2024 low. If that support fails too, the next level is around $20,000. Strategy will have to sell a lot more Bitcoin to maintain its dollar reserve.”Repeat30 Jun 2026, 18:43 UTC
“@Cryptotea Because now ETFs and Saylor will be selling what they bought.”Repeat30 Jun 2026, 19:50 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@AmitKat45365543 Most of the daily volume is day trading. There will not enough net new buying to support the price when Strategy is selling so much. Plus others will front run Strategy's sales.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

Same 24h episode

AI interpretation

Outcome record

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