Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $59,229 at 30 Jun 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $58,577 at 1 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 58577.41 / 59229.32 − 1 = -1.10%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.10% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology