Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jun 2026, 23:44 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

In reply to · 29 Jun 2026, 06:34 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin entered its bottom phase Everyone expects even lower prices, will it happen? https://t.co/9GPAU621zY

@QuintenFrancois That candle suggests go much lower

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,163 at 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $58,524 at 1 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 58523.93 / 60162.73 − 1 = -2.7%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time