Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,320 at 29 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $58,322 at 30 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 58322.25 / 60319.82 − 1 = -3.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology