Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jun 2026, 13:54 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Ignas

@DefiIgnas

In reply to · 29 Jun 2026, 13:51 UTC · context given to the AI

@DefiIgnas https://t.co/DXMTpw0xK6

@Eli5defi Imagine if Saylor tweets that they had already sold 1.2b USD in BTC. COuld moon ASAP

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 4 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “@Eli5defi Imagine if Saylor tweets that they had already sold 1.2b USD in BTC.”
Confidence: 75%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (75%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3