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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jun 2026, 09:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC just had its first weekly close below 200W MA in 2.5 years. Time-based capitulation will start now. https://t.co/LuENpxTEMb

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“I've placed my $BTC limit orders. I don't think we've seen the final capitulation move yet. The goal is to preserve capital so you're ready to deploy in the main support zone highlighted in the report. Did you do the same? Have your orders sitting there, ready to catch any wick.”Repeat28 Jun 2026, 21:03 UTC

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC just had its first weekly close below 200W MA in 2.5 years.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3