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Published 29 Jun 2026, 08:59 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
₿IRB
@crypto_birb
In reply to · 28 Jun 2026, 19:53 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin can drop BELOW $30k this year. If you think I’m wrong bet against me. Put your money where your mouth is. We both day trade $100k account for 14 days here: https://t.co/RFWyN4a4Tm Loser donates $10k to charity and publicly apologises. You’re in big man @DavidGreatly? https://t.co/SPPHajuiYo https://t.co/5ET4EMyIDdEven if we drop to $20,000 in 2026, it'll be NORMAL. Unreal I have to explain 1st grade math. BTC midterm bear market performance is -66.08% in annualised terms or -65.95% average. Max drop -76.3%. 2026 yearly open was 87.5k. A 66% slide from 87.5k is what? 29.75k. That's not even 30k. In risk management you ALWAYS assume worst case scenario, and -76.3% slide puts it at 20.74k. So even if Bitcoin drops to 20.74k this year, it is a REASONABLE target at yearly close. It might even be AFTER we've bottomed already, meaning a bottom will be lower. Now don't get me wrong. For predictions I prefer to rely on average than on extreme values. So my baseline case is 30k-40k range in Q4. If you don't understand that, please quit before you hurt yourself.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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