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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Jun 2026, 12:46 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

swarmik

@swarmister

$BTC 1D There was a volume spike on Friday, and I'm waiting for consolidation, followed by an upside move (but don't get your hopes up too much Kek) It would be cool to see around 70k, to be honest, but I'm just getting back into the market. https://t.co/8ITEHOAQyZ

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,206 at 28 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $59,858 at 29 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 59857.65 / 60205.82 − 1 = -0.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC 1D”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: incorrect

Prediction evidence

Source post

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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