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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 Jun 2026, 13:31 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH has started to form decent liquidity clusters to the upside. There's one sitting around the $1,500 level too. Historically, Ethereum has seen a bounce back in July, so a sweep of the upside liquidity could happen next. https://t.co/FKBu1PeI3X

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,590 at 27 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,578 at 28 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 1577.52 / 1589.68 − 1 = -0.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH has started to form decent liquidity clusters to the upside.”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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