Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2070857931537674275:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 Jun 2026, 13:13 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$ETH / $USD - Update This is the bullish case. https://t.co/9BWZvBH1nc

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,590 at 27 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,578 at 28 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 1577.52 / 1589.68 − 1 = -0.76%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.76% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 79%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: incorrect

Baseline price

$1,590

Evaluation price

$1,578

Move

-0.76%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 10:22 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction