Published 27 Jun 2026, 10:10 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
That Martini Guy ₿
@MartiniGuyYT
Bitcoin is throwing a bit of a curveball here. Historical volatility is starting to look almost identical to the last major compression before price broke down. The setup is very similar. But here's what caught my attention... Around 20,000 BTC was deposited onto exchanges yesterday. At the same time, roughly $1 billion of USDT left exchanges. That's important. More Bitcoin available to sell. Less stablecoin liquidity available to absorb it. That isn't the kind of combination you'd normally associate with a sustained move higher. Could Bitcoin squeeze a little higher first? Absolutely. But unless this on-chain picture changes, any strength still looks like it could be temporary. For now, I'm paying much closer attention to the exchange flows than the price itself.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 60075.94 / 60317.99 − 1 = -0.4%d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction