Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Jun 2026, 13:17 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Bob Loukas 🗽

@BobLoukas

In reply to · 26 Jun 2026, 12:52 UTC · context given to the AI

@BobLoukas We’re gonna revisit this in two years, aren’t we? 🤝

@BitPaine In the long run it’s an underperforming Bitcoin etf. You might get one good outperforming run in the next cycle, and that’s it.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@BitPaine In the long run it’s an underperforming Bitcoin etf.”
Confidence: 68%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (68%); Unsupported horizon: "unspecified timeframe"
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3