Published 26 Jun 2026, 10:40 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
That Martini Guy ₿
@MartiniGuyYT
Bitcoin open interest is telling a very different story. Price has fallen hard over the past few weeks. But open interest hasn't. That's the problem. When Bitcoin dumped from roughly $64,000 to $58,000, open interest only fell by around $1.1B. That isn't enough. It suggests someone was opening large short positions into the sell-off rather than the market fully deleveraging. Now look at the most recent candles. Price is moving higher while open interest is falling. That's usually shorts closing. The candle before that? Fresh longs opening. In other words... Late shorts are getting squeezed. New longs are chasing the bounce. But the bigger short position still appears to be sitting there. Until that position closes, I still think the path of least resistance remains lower.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
Uses only text available at publication time
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