Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Jun 2026, 08:47 UTC · fetched 21 Oct 2026, 12:57 UTC

Travladd 𐤊

@travladd

In reply to · 26 Jun 2026, 08:27 UTC · context given to the AI

My updated Bitcoin bottom prediction: $38,500 $BTC https://t.co/5YRl2Np2OY

Historical top to bottoms last two cycles: 84% and 76%. 38.5 being a very key area previously sits at around 69%. Makes sense.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@TedPillows Keep saying this and get clowned by people, yet it’s statistically backed…”Repeat26 Jun 2026, 21:08 UTC

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Historical top to bottoms last two cycles: 84% and 76%. 38.5 being a very key area previously sits at around 69%. Makes sense.”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3