Published 26 Jun 2026, 08:26 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
That Martini Guy ₿
@MartiniGuyYT
Bitcoin funding rates are sending a very different signal to the spot market. Spot markets have been selling. Futures traders are still trying to buy. Funding rates remain mostly positive across the board, which tells me there still isn't much demand to short Bitcoin here. That's important. If funding had flipped heavily negative, it would suggest traders were aggressively positioning for more downside. Instead, it looks like most of the market is still trying to buy this dip. The pattern over the last few weeks has been fairly consistent. Bitcoin sells off on Thursday. Bounces on Friday. Then spends the weekend chopping sideways. Could we see that happen again? Potentially. But I think the odds are lower this time. For now, the biggest thing I'm watching is whether these longs can actually defend price. If they can't, they could end up providing the liquidity for another move lower.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 61507.04 / 60147.36 − 1 = +2.3%d × r = -2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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