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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2070344141339304205:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Jun 2026, 03:11 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

goes without saying if btc loses this current 58k region then we'll prob see some violence everywhere. nothing is safe but you can maybe place some stink bids in hope they hit.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $59,937 at 26 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $60,210 at 27 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC.
r = 60209.77 / 59936.98 − 1 = +0.46%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.46% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “goes without saying if btc loses this current 58k region then we'll prob see some violence everywhere.”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$59,937

Evaluation price

$60,210

Move

+0.46%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 21:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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