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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2070227024330076627:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Jun 2026, 19:26 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$ETH / $USD - Update Keeping an eye on this structure now. The triangle is still valid, but this is another i am looking for. Both bearish structures to take note. https://t.co/U3Ki4YmfcD

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,557 at 25 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,572 at 26 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 1572.43 / 1556.93 − 1 = +1.00%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.00% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: incorrect

Baseline price

$1,557

Evaluation price

$1,572

Move

+1.00%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 10:22 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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