Prediction evidence

ra

Rand Group

@randgroup

Every generational entry in Bitcoin has felt like a funeral. Back in 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2022. Every time the chart kissed the bottom line, the headlines said it was finally over. Every time, it was the best buy of the decade. Bitcoin It's sitting right on the 200 week moving average. The line that has marked the bottom of every cycle. Fear and Greed reads 24. Extreme fear. And while retail sells into that fear, the buyers with the longest memories are loading up exactly where the model says the floor is. This is the only chart in markets that has survived four separate crashes of 75% or worse and snapped back to the same trendline every single time. Fifteen years. Every crash. A dozen obituaries. It is telling you the exact same thing it told you in 2015, in 2018, in 2022. The discomfort is the signal. Generational entries never feel like opportunities. They feel like mistakes.