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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Jun 2026, 16:15 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 25 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC drop another 10k from here and it’s safe to start scaling into a bottom - though price can drop as low as 35k so make sure to ladder

$ETH probably safe to start DCA around $1200 https://t.co/0D8IuUG67O

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,559 at 25 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,575 at 26 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1575.18 / 1559.43 − 1 = +1.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH probably safe to start DCA around $1200 https://t.co/0D8IuUG67O”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3