Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,631 at 25 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,543 at 26 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 1542.88 / 1630.71 − 1 = -5.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology