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Leaderboard / @TedPillows / 2070076751837819099:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Jun 2026, 09:28 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Te

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH tapped the $1,500-$1,600 support zone yesterday. So far, sellers are still dominating, which means Ethereum could move lower. https://t.co/4pZXL9Cyx8

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,646 at 25 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,551 at 26 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 1550.78 / 1646.2 − 1 = -5.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Michael Saylor has a $14,000,000,000 loss on $BTC. Tom Lee has a $10,500,000,000 loss on $ETH. Painful. Lower.”Repeat25 Jun 2026, 15:22 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH tapped the $1,500-$1,600 support zone yesterday.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$1,646

Evaluation price

$1,551

Move

-5.8%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

11 Nov 2026, 03:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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