Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $59,309 at 24 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $61,015 at 24 Jun 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 61014.84 / 59309.31 − 1 = +2.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology