Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Jun 2026, 16:40 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

Gaijin

@Gaijin165

In reply to · 24 Jun 2026, 16:38 UTC · context given to the AI

JUST IN: 70% chance of $BTC hitting $50,000 before $100,000, per Kalshi traders. https://t.co/QuUetH9bQl

@WhaleInsider with the current situation this % should be more than 90

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@WhaleInsider with the current situation this % should be more than 90”
Confidence: 38%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (38%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3