Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,802 at 24 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,499 at 25 Jun 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 61498.83 / 62801.99 − 1 = -2.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology