Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jun 2026, 20:42 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Bluntz

@Bluntz_Capital

the run into fresh aths on $cards feels inevitable at this point https://t.co/HCtXdigMoz

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CARDS price at or after publication, $0.2912 at 23 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2727 at 24 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 0.27273920589492023 / 0.291208775401325 − 1 = -6.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -6.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CARDS ($CARDS)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “the run into fresh aths on $cards feels inevitable at this point https://t.co/HCtXdigMoz”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3