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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jun 2026, 19:50 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

$ETH (per request) Chart looks terrible right now... no real set up other than in strong downtrend. https://t.co/AQERIlYhL7

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,660 at 23 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,582 at 24 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 1581.96 / 1660.28 − 1 = -4.7%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time