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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jun 2026, 18:39 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:35 UTC

Justin Bennett

@JustinBennettFX

Quoting · 22 May 2026, 19:50 UTC · context given to the AI

Next stop for $BTC is probably $71-$72k. If that fails (likely), $60k is next, followed by the mid-$40k range. https://t.co/aKjWQf4y5v

It's a long way down for $BTC. $44k remains my target. Still short from just above $80k. https://t.co/6UBZSVYcH6 https://t.co/3Q5WKkgkiH

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,151 at 23 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $59,514 at 24 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 59513.92 / 62150.9 − 1 = -4.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time