Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,271 at 23 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $59,309 at 24 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 59309.31 / 62271.42 − 1 = -4.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -4.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology