Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.03317 at 22 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.03159 at 23 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0315923888165922 / 0.033170188066124526 − 1 = -4.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -4.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology