Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,070 at 22 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,298 at 23 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 62298.01 / 64070.41 − 1 = -2.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology