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Published 21 Jun 2026, 17:47 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
swarmik
@swarmister
Quoting · 18 Jun 2026, 15:53 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC I'm bearish, but the local bottom is almost reached. According to one of my liquidity indicators, I see a cluster in the 63,500–62,500 range. The upper part has already been taken out, great. But below, there’s still liquidity from those guys who jumped right into the market after reading the news about the “peace deal” and ideally, we need to absorb all of that liquidity to continue the uptrend. In my view, the rally will be capped around 69k, with a possible breakout to 71–72; this would completely absorb the FVG on the daily timeframe, but even that is very optimistic in my opinion. From 69k, I’ll start building a short position down to 45+-$BTC update + I'll add it to the plan. So, we’ve hit bottom right where I showed you. At first, I was hesitant to open a long position, but I went ahead and opened it at 62,496. I reduced my risk a bit this morning. I don’t know if there will be a correction, but I might buy back the volume. For me, the 7D RVWAP price movement is a stronger confirmation, but we’re still dependent on geopolitics as well. Globally, I’d expect scenarios like the ones I drew on the chart: either from 68–69k with an 80% probability of a downtrend, the question being from which levels maximum, maybe 72-74k, followed by a retest of lows, meaning below 58k, more likely 50-50k. Be careful, I’ll post an update if conditions change. Keep an eye on notifications 🫶🏼🫰🏼View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
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