Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,065 at 21 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $63,721 at 21 Jun 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 63721.49 / 64065.31 − 1 = -0.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology