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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Jun 2026, 08:35 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is trying to reclaim the Feb lows again. This has become a strong resistance zone for Ethereum. A reclaim means ETH could rally 8%-10% in a few days. https://t.co/tUkvKqo8ou

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,721 at 20 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $1,582 at 27 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 1581.67 / 1721.21 − 1 = -8.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -8.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 7 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$ETH is trying to reclaim the Feb lows again.”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

Source post

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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