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Published 19 Jun 2026, 10:36 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC
XO
@Trader_XO
bitcoin:native and Realized price Its been one of my favorite metrics for when I've shifted to risk off mode looking for lower prices from significant highs.. Worked for me at the respective highs Nov/Dec 2021 and once again October 2025 Any periods below have represented value... Does it repeat again...? Embrace the downside... if it continues.... thats future opportunity. And eventually... the next cycle begins...View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63609.59 / 62466.31 − 1 = +1.83%d × r = -1.83% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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