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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Jun 2026, 09:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH dropped below the $1,700 level. If Ethereum doesn't reclaim this soon, it could drop another 5%-6%. https://t.co/Tns00BSRGy

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,688 at 19 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,727 at 20 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 1726.72 / 1687.6 − 1 = +2.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time