Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,619 at 18 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,050 at 19 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 63049.54 / 62618.64 − 1 = +0.7%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology