Published 18 Jun 2026, 15:49 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
That Martini Guy ₿
@MartiniGuyYT
Bitcoin has now lost major support. This is exactly what I've been talking about over the past few days. The $63,500 level was the last major support I was watching on the chart. Up until now, price had been holding surprisingly well despite what I was seeing elsewhere in the market. ETF flows were turning negative. Open interest was falling. Longs were taking profit. Institutions were reducing exposure. Now price is finally starting to catch up. For me, this isn't really new information. It's confirmation. The market has been showing signs of weakness for a while, and now that weakness is appearing in the chart itself. The big question from here is whether Bitcoin can reclaim $63,500 quickly. Because if it can't, then support becomes resistance. And that's usually when things start moving a lot faster. This is why I said the real test was still ahead of us.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63153.12 / 62283.58 − 1 = +1.4%d × r = -1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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