Loading…

Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Jun 2026, 00:36 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:54 UTC

DonAlt

@DonAlt

So do I get this right >Saylor buys BTC >Issues STRC >Buys more BTC with proceeds as market goes up >Average buy price of infinity >Eventually market goes down >STRC depegs >Saylor sells BTC below his average to repeg STRC >Market moves even lower below his average >Sells even more BTC to repay STRC >Eventually market recovers >Saylor issues more STRC >Buys now more expensive BTC >Repeat I'm a duck but even to me this sounds very retarded If I understand this correctly it's the worst ponzi I've ever seen

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “>Saylor buys BTC >Issues STRC >Buys more BTC with proceeds as market goes up >Average buy price of infinity >Eventually market goes down >STRC depegs >Saylor sells BTC below his average to repeg STRC >Market moves even lower below his average >Sells even more BTC to repay STRC >E”
Confidence: 49%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (49%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction