Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,776 at 16 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,771 at 17 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 1770.62 / 1776.48 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology