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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Jun 2026, 09:10 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Jelle

@CryptoJelleNL

Weekly bullish divergence, right on top of the 200w MA and the previous cycle highs. Looks good for a bounce. bitcoin:native https://t.co/M4DUdQiB1P

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $66,462 at 16 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,850 at 17 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 64849.93 / 66461.65 − 1 = -2.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time