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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Jun 2026, 15:10 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH 4H RSI is now the most overbought in 3 months. Last time this happened, Ethereum dropped 15% in 2 weeks. https://t.co/2369QHjRrf

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,844 at 15 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $1,743 at 22 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 1742.66 / 1844.39 − 1 = -5.5%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time