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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Jun 2026, 12:47 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

CRG

@MacroCRG

Quoting · 14 Jun 2026, 22:48 UTC · context given to the AI

bitcoin:native: beautiful break into the 4H cloud.... at next area of resistance rn w/ 4H100MA + weekly s/r https://t.co/TQ49cHO81o https://t.co/dcUPX3SemK

bitcoin:native: resistance crushed next level up quarterly open weekly open / 4H100MA good line in the sand imo, wick below ok, but shouldn't spend any meaningful time below it if this trend is to continue https://t.co/f0WZp27fEk https://t.co/lGTa8xLrkO

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $66,533 at 15 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $66,368 at 16 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 66367.99 / 66533.31 − 1 = -0.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “bitcoin:native: resistance crushed”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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