Published 15 Jun 2026, 10:13 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 4 Jun 2026, 10:59 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC WEEKLY Bitcoin has officially revisited the 200 MA after breaking down from the 50 MA. It has risen from $55K when I first posted this to $62K. It has only traded below it for one stretch in history - June 2022 to March 2023. Every other cycle, this was the bottom. https://t.co/InAIx3UURk https://t.co/CvG8NUXsy7$BTC WEEKLY I have been consistently making the argument that Bitcoin is likely “bottoming.” This is based on multiple ideas, notably that price was visiting the 200 weekly MA for the 4th time in history. It has only traded below it for more than a week in 2022, after FTX (9 months). We also had oversold conditions here for the 4th time ever, all bottoms. For the second time ever, we now have bullish divergence coming out of oversold RSI on the weekly chart. We now have 2 candles wicking below the 200 MA and closing above, all while sentiment is in the dumps and narrative about complete collapse are rampant. I remain cautiously optimistic that the the path is up.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 66456.9 / 65879.95 − 1 = +0.88%d × r = +0.88% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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